Multilabel Classification for Predicting Crop Pests in Niger
Keywords:
Machine Learning; Multilabel Classification; Prediction; Crop pest; AgricultureAbstract
Crop pests pose serious threats to agricultural production and food security. With the advent of climate change in Niger, pest attacks have become increasingly frequent. This has become a crucial problem and a priority for farmers and government, as it can destroy the crop or harvest, thereby causing economic harm to the detriment of farmers and the population. Machine learning techniques are widely used in crop pests’ prediction. However, the existing approaches generally focus on the prediction of crop pests using traditional classification methods. These approaches are limited, as they do not make it possible to predict multiple crop pests. Thus, simultaneous and rapid prediction of multiple pests remains a major challenge. In this study, we proposed an approach to predict all the pests of a crop in various localities by using multilabel classification techniques. We developed and compared nine (9) multilabel classification models over two different periods (monthly and annual) using historical data on crop pest infestation and climate. The classifiers are evaluated using Hamming Loss (HL). It was observed that the Radom k-labELsets (RAkEL) classifier is better both on monthly and annual prediction of all pests, with a comparative HL percentage value of 3.63% and 5.1%, respectively. This study extends the models available for crop pest prediction and opens a new path to improving the prediction of crop pests.
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